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Maine Lost its Presidential Primary

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Since early 2016, a trend has evolved in how the 2020 presidential nomination process will operate. In that time, several formerly caucus states have abandoned the format in favor of a state-funded primary. That has happened in states like Idaho and Nebraska where there was already a primary option included in state law, but also in states like Colorado and Minnesota , where citizen-driven initiative or the legislature, respectively, created the primary option. The latter group used to include the caucus-to-primary shift in Maine . Used to . The 2016 effort to re-establish a presidential primary in the Pine Tree state passed and became law, but most of the provisions in the bill ( then law ) expired on December 1, 2018. The sole surviving component -- the only part that did not expire -- was the study the Maine secretary of state was to have conducted with respect to the funding of the election. And while that report was issued on December 1, 2017, as called for in the statute, que...
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The Electoral College Map (9/25/16)

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New State Polls (9/25/16) State Poll Date Margin of Error Sample Clinton Trump Undecided Poll Margin FHQ Margin Colorado YouGov/CBS 9/21-9/23 +/- 4.4% 991 likely voters 40 39 10 +1 +4.04 Maine UNH/Press Herald 9/15-9/20 +/- 4.3% 513 likely voters 40 36 7 +4 +4.95 Missouri YouGov/CBS 9/21-9/23 +/- 3.9% 1087 likely voters 37 46 7 +9 +7.23 Utah Dan Jones & Associates/Hinkley Institute 9/12-9/19 +/- 3.4% 820 likely voters 25 34 8 +9 +9.95 Virginia YouGov/CBS 9/21-9/23 +/- 3.3% 1237 likely voters 45 37 8 +8 +6.22 Polling Quick Hits: If it is Sunday, it usually means some battleground polls from YouGov/CBS. Today was no exception as the internet-based polling firm served up new surveys from Colorado, Missouri and Virginia. Plus there was another poll added in from UNH in Maine. [...and a late add from Utah.] Most significantly, Colorado and Maine jump the Lean/Toss Up line on the Clinton side of the Spectrum into the Toss Up Clinton area. Now, that line -- the 5 point mark -- is complete...
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2020 Republican Rules Changes, Part One: Setting Expectations for the Next Round

Part Two: Early Proposals Part Three: A Reflection on Delegate Incentives Part Four: A Caucus-to-Primary Incentive? -- On the occasion last month of the 2018 Republican National Committee winter meeting in Washington, DC, the Temporary Committee on the Presidential Nominating Process (TCPNP) reconvened to discuss potential rules changes for the 2020 cycle. From a comparative standpoint, the chatter on rules tweaking for 2020 on the Republican side has been far quieter than the open discussions the Democratic Unity Reform Commission had throughout 2017 . However, that near silence should not necessarily be read as inactivity. Rather, it is a function of a party that 1) remains new to tinkering on its presidential nominating rules outside of a convention setting, 2) tends to conduct its temporary committee functions largely outside of the public eye, and 3) currently holds the White House. The first two factors are unique to the RNC while the third is not. It was not, for instanc...
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