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New State Polls (9/27/16) State Poll Date Margin of Error Sample Clinton Trump Undecided Poll Margin FHQ Margin North Carolina Meredith College 9/18-9/22 +/- 4.43% 487 likely voters 38 35 11 +3 +1.27 Pennsylvania Mercyhurst 9/12-9/23 +/- 4.8% 420 likely voters 42 41 11 +1 -- Pennsylvania Gravis 9/23 +/- 3.2% 949 likely voters 46 43 6 +3 +4.96 Polling Quick Hits: There were a few pre-debate stragglers that made an appearance either late Monday or early Tuesday. Those polls have now been added into the mix. North Carolina: The trendline over the last week in North Carolina has shifted back in Clinton's direction. Whereas Trump and Clinton were trading leads in Tar Heel state surveys of late, the four most recent polls have found the former Secretary of State narrowly ahead. The Meredith College poll is part of that series and has turned the average back around. It had dipped under one point briefly, but has snapped back, remaining just off the Watch List. The margin may be consisten...

New State Polls (9/26/16) State Poll Date Margin of Error Sample Clinton Trump Undecided Poll Margin FHQ Margin Arizona Data Orbital 9/20-9/22 +/- 4.12% 550 registered voters 38 40 14 +2 +1.95 Colorado Gravis 9/22-9/23 +/- 3.5% 799 registered voters 37 41 10 +4 -- Colorado CNN 9/20-9/25 +/- 3.5% 784 likely voters 41 42 0 +1 +3.14 Florida Cherry/Florida Chamber 9/16-9/20 +/- 4.0% 617 likely voters 43 41 6 +2 +1.96 Iowa Loras 9/20-9/22 +/- 4.4% 491 likely voters 38 38 14 +/-0 +0.93 Louisiana JMC Analytics 9/22-9/24 +/- 3.3% 905 likely voters 35 45 13 +10 +13.84 Massachusetts YouGov/UMass 9/15-9/20 +/- 4.3% 700 likely voters 47 31 5 +16 +20.77 Minnesota Survey USA 9/16-9/20 +/- 4.0% 625 likely voters 46 39 6 +7 +8.01 New Hampshire ARG 9/20-9/25 +/- 4.2% 522 registered voters 46 42 5 +4 +5.40 New York Marist/NBC 9/21-9/23 +/- 3.8% 676 likely voters 52 31 3 +22 +20.15 North Carolina High Point 9/17-9/22 +/- 4.9% 404 likely voters 43 42 6 +1 -- North Carolina Gravis 9/23 +/- 3.7% 694 likely ...

New State Polls (9/25/16) State Poll Date Margin of Error Sample Clinton Trump Undecided Poll Margin FHQ Margin Colorado YouGov/CBS 9/21-9/23 +/- 4.4% 991 likely voters 40 39 10 +1 +4.04 Maine UNH/Press Herald 9/15-9/20 +/- 4.3% 513 likely voters 40 36 7 +4 +4.95 Missouri YouGov/CBS 9/21-9/23 +/- 3.9% 1087 likely voters 37 46 7 +9 +7.23 Utah Dan Jones & Associates/Hinkley Institute 9/12-9/19 +/- 3.4% 820 likely voters 25 34 8 +9 +9.95 Virginia YouGov/CBS 9/21-9/23 +/- 3.3% 1237 likely voters 45 37 8 +8 +6.22 Polling Quick Hits: If it is Sunday, it usually means some battleground polls from YouGov/CBS. Today was no exception as the internet-based polling firm served up new surveys from Colorado, Missouri and Virginia. Plus there was another poll added in from UNH in Maine. [...and a late add from Utah.] Most significantly, Colorado and Maine jump the Lean/Toss Up line on the Clinton side of the Spectrum into the Toss Up Clinton area. Now, that line -- the 5 point mark -- is complete...